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2020 Young Investigator

Opioid use in people with chronic pain and associations with suicidal behaviours and suicide: a population-based data linkage cohort study

1 research finding from this AFSP-funded study.

Research finding · June 2026

Opioid prescribing patterns may help identify elevated suicide prevention needs

Prescription opioids can play an important role in pain management, but they also require careful monitoring, especially when used at higher doses or over longer periods of time. One concern in suicide prevention is whether greater access to opioid medications may increase risk for self-harm or suicide by poisoning. At the same time, this relationship is not simple: people prescribed long-term or high-dose opioids may also be living with chronic pain, complex health needs, substance use concerns, or mental health conditions that can independently increase suicide risk. Understanding whether opioid prescribing patterns are linked to different methods of self-harm and suicide can help clinicians better identify when additional screening, support, and safety planning may be needed.

With her AFSP-funded work, Dr. Gabrielle Campbell analyzed data from more than 3.2 million adults in Australia who initiated a prescription opioid between 2003 and 2018, examining associations between opioid exposure, dose, duration, self-harm hospitalization, and suicide death. During the study period, there were 49,215 self-harm hospitalizations and 3,086 suicide deaths. Opioid poisoning was the least common method for both self-harm hospitalizations and suicide deaths, suggesting that the relationship between opioid prescribing and suicide risk is more complex than access to opioids alone.

However, among the smaller proportion of events involving opioid poisoning, risk increased with current opioid exposure, longer cumulative duration, and higher daily dose, even after accounting for known suicide-related risk factors. For example, people with 151–180 days of opioid use in the past six months had a higher risk of opioid-related self-harm and suicide than those with no exposure, and the highest daily opioid doses were associated with substantially higher risk of suicide involving opioid poisoning. Overall, the findings suggest that suicide-related behaviors should be screened and monitored among people prescribed opioids, particularly those receiving long-term or high-dose opioid therapy, while recognizing that pain, mental health, and other co-occurring risks may also be central to prevention.

Citation: Campbell, G., Tran, D. T., Bharat, C. I., Degenhardt, L., Draper, B., Pearson, S.-A., … Havard, A. (2025). Risk of self-harm and suicide associated with the use of opioid analgesics. The British Journal of Psychiatry, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.2025.10436

This finding comes from an AFSP-funded study — see the grant below ↓

The grant behind this work · 2020 Young Investigator

Opioid use in people with chronic pain and associations with suicidal behaviours and suicide: a population-based data linkage cohort study

Gabrielle Campbell, PhD

Gabrielle Campbell, Ph.D.

University of New South Wales (Australia)

Mentor: Brian Draper, M.D., Prince of Wales Hospital (Australia)

Amount awarded
$89,959
Focus area
Psychosocial

Inside the Research

In the last two decades, there has been a substantial increase in the prescription of pharmaceutical opioids, particularly for chronic non-cancer pain. One of the most recent concerning trends has been the increasing association between increased opioid prescribing and suicide. In this study, new machine learning/artificial intelligence techniques will be used to study a population of patients with chronic pain who were prescribed opioids. Findings may shed light on the relationship between opioid deaths and suicide.

Full scientific abstract

Aims: To examine the rates of suicidal self-harm hospital presentations and death by intentional self-harm in two chronic pain populations, cancer and chronic non-cancer pain (CNCP) patients, who have been prescribed pharmaceutical opioids. To investigate sociodemographic and clinical risk factors associated with increased self-harm rates in these two populations and apply machine learning techniques to develop risk-prediction models. We hypothesise that self-harm rates will be common and will be associated with a number of clinical factors such as comorbid mental health problems and chronic, high dose opioid use.

Sample: We will leverage off an already established and funded population-based cohort, of all people in the state of New South Wales, Australia, who have initiated a pharmaceutical opioid from 2002-2019. It is estimated that more than two million people will have commenced a new opioid treatment episode in this time and just under one-million would have been prescribed an opioid for CNCP conditions. We will extend the study to examine suicidal outcomes. 

Measures: Data will be linked to seven Commonwealth and NSW collections. We will examine two main outcomes. We will use the NSW Admitted Patient Data Collection and the NSW Emergency Department Data Collection to identify self-harm hospital presentations and the National Deaths Index to identify deaths related to intentional self-harm. Pharmaceutical opioid use will be operationalized to oral morphine equivalents, duration of use, i.e. acute, episodic and chronic, and concomitant opioid and other concomitant medicines use. We will utilize several datasets to identify patient groups, specifically cancer and CNCP patients, and sociodemographic (i.e. age, gender, area of residence, including relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage) and clinical characteristics (i.e. mental health history, other prescription medication use and substance use history).  

Procedures: Funding and ethics for the established cohort have been obtained and data linkage is underway and expected to be completed in March 2020. If funded, we will recruit a biostatistician with experience in data linkage. 

Potential impact: Unlike the United States, Australia has universal health care that is available to everyone, irrespective of private health insurance. This means we will have a population-based sample with highly generalisable findings. The findings from this study will be crucial in identifying areas for suicide prevention and intervention, i.e. frequent self-harm hospital presentations and characteristics associated with suicidal behaviours. High risk patterns of opioid use, such as dose and duration, and associations with patient characteristics will also be identified and will assist in developing appropriate opioid prescribing guidelines. 

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